The Doha Trade Round and Mozambique

This paper considers the potential implications of the Doha Development Agenda, as well as other trade liberalization scenarios, for Mozambique. An applied general equilibrium model, which accounts for high marketing margins and home consumption in the Mozambique economy, is linked to results from t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author:	Arndt, Channing
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:	AGGREGATE EXPORTS AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS AGRICULTURE APPAREL APPLIED TARIFF ARABLE LAND ARBITRAGE AVERAGE TARIFF AVERAGE TARIFFS BORDER PRICE BUSINESS SERVICES CAPITAL GOODS CIRCULAR FLOW COAL COMMERCIAL MARKETS COMMODITY PRICES COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSTANT ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION CONSTANT ELASTICITY OF TRANSFORMATION CONSUMER EXPENDITURE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMER SPENDING CONSUMERS CONSUMPTION INCREASES CONSUMPTION PATTERNS CPI CUMULATIVE EFFECT DEMAND CURVES DEMAND FUNCTIONS DEVALUATION DOMESTIC PRICE OF IMPORTS DOMESTIC PRODUCTION ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMISTS ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF DEMAND ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EMPLOYMENT EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE RATE EXPLOITATION EXPORT MARKETS EXPORT PRICE EXPORT PRICES EXPORT SHARE EXPORT SUBSIDIES EXPORT TAXES EXPORT VOLUMES EXPORTS FACTOR ENDOWMENTS FACTOR MARKETS FACTOR PRICE FACTOR PRICES FACTORS OF PRODUCTION FISHERIES FISHING FOOD POLICY RESEARCH FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN MARKETS FOREIGN TRADE FORESTRY FREE TRADE FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS FUTURE RESEARCH GDP GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GINI COEFFICIENT GLOBAL MARKETS GLOBAL TRADE GLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS GNP GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION HUMAN CAPITAL IMPACT OF TRADE IMPACT OF TRADE LIBERALIZATION IMPERFECT COMPETITION IMPORT COMPETITION IMPORT PRICES IMPORT PRODUCTS IMPORT TARIFFS IMPORTS INCOME INSURANCE INTERNATIONAL MARKETS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LIVING CONDITIONS MACROECONOMICS MARKETING METAL PRODUCTS METALS NATURAL RESOURCES OIL OPEN TRADE REGIMES POVERTY LINE PRICE CHANGES PRICE EFFECT PRICE INCREASES PRIVATE CONSUMPTION PRODUCERS PRODUCTION PATTERNS PRODUCTIVE RESOURCES PROFIT MAXIMIZATION REAL EXCHANGE RATE REGIONAL TRADE REGIONALIZATION REGRESSION ANALYSIS SALES SAVINGS SPREAD STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT SUBSTITUTES SURPLUS TARIFF PREFERENCES TARIFF PROTECTION TARIFF RATE TARIFF RATES TARIFF REVENUE TAX RATES TAX REVENUE TERMS OF TRADE TOTAL CONSUMPTION TOTAL SALES TRADE AGREEMENT TRADE AGREEMENTS TRADE DEFICIT TRADE EFFECT TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE NEGOTIATIONS TRADE POLICY TRADE REFORMS TRADE REGIME TRANSACTION COSTS TRANSPORT COSTS UNILATERAL TRADE UNILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION UNSKILLED LABOR UTILITY FUNCTION VALUE ADDED VALUE OF EXPORTS VALUE OF IMPORTS WAGES WELFARE IMPACTS WORLD PRICES WORLD TRADE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION WTO
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/09/6289698/doha-trade-round-mozambique http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8270

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Summary:	This paper considers the potential implications of the Doha Development Agenda, as well as other trade liberalization scenarios, for Mozambique. An applied general equilibrium model, which accounts for high marketing margins and home consumption in the Mozambique economy, is linked to results from the GTAP model of global trade. In addition, a microsimulation module is used to consider the subsequent implications of trade liberalization for poverty. The implications of trade liberalization, particularly the Doha scenarios, are found to be relatively small. Presuming that a more liberal trading regime will positively influence growth in Mozambique, an opportunity exists to put in place such a regime without imposing significant adjustment costs.

The Doha Trade Round and Mozambique

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