Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda on China : The Role of Labor Markets and Complementary Education Reforms

The authors assess the implications of multilateral trade reforms for poverty in China. They do so by combining results from a global modeling exercise with a national CGE model that features disaggregated households in both the rural and urban sectors. They examine two trade reform scenarios: one i...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Zhai, Fan, Hertel, Thomas
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:	ABSOLUTE VALUE ADVERSE IMPACTS AGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT AGRICULTURAL EXPORT SUBSIDIES AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS AGRICULTURAL PROTECTION AGRICULTURE APPAREL APPAREL EXPORTS APPAREL QUOTAS BASE YEAR BENCHMARK BENCHMARK DATA BENCHMARK EQUILIBRIUM BUDGET CONSTRAINTS CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL GOODS CAPITAL MARKET CAPITAL STOCK COMMODITIES CONSTANT ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION CONSTANT ELASTICITY OF TRANSFORMATION CONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CPI CUMULATIVE EFFECT DATA SET DEMAND CURVES DEMAND ELASTICITIES DIRECT IMPACT DOMESTIC MARKET ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE EMPLOYMENT EQUILIBRIUM EQUIVALENT VARIATION EXPENDITURES EXPORT MARKETS EXPORT PROCESSING EXPORT VOLUMES EXPORTS EXTERNALITIES FACTOR MARKETS FARM ACTIVITIES FARM HOUSEHOLDS FINANCING MECHANISMS FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FOREIGN INVESTMENT FOREIGN TRADE FREE TRADE FULL EMPLOYMENT FULL LIBERALIZATION GDP GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL GEOGRAPHIC PROXIMITY GINI COEFFICIENT GLOBAL FREE TRADE GLOBAL TRADE GLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS HEADCOUNT RATIO HOUSEHOLD BEHAVIOR HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD LABOR HOUSEHOLD WELFARE HUMAN CAPITAL IMPACT OF TRADE IMPORT PRICES IMPORT PROTECTION IMPORT TARIFFS IMPORTS IMPROVED ACCESS INCOME INCOME DISTRIBUTION INCOME HOUSEHOLDS INCOME INEQUALITY INCOME LEVEL INCOME LEVELS INCREASED DEMAND INCREASED INEQUALITY INTERMEDIATE GOODS INTERMEDIATE INPUTS INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKETS LABOR PRODUCTIVITY LABOR SUPPLY LIVING CONDITIONS MARGINAL COST MARGINAL VALUE MARKET DISTORTIONS METAL PRODUCTS METALS MORTALITY MULTILATERAL TRADE MULTILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION NATIONAL AVERAGE NATIONAL POPULATION NATIONAL POVERTY NON-AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES NON-FARM EMPLOYMENT NUTRITION OIL OPENNESS OPPORTUNITY COST PATTERNS OF TRADE PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY RESEARCH POVERTY HEADCOUNT POVERTY LINE POVERTY REDUCTION PREFERENTIAL TREATMENT PRICE OF IMPORTS PRIMARY SCHOOL PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS PUBLIC EXPENDITURES QUOTAS RATES OF PROTECTION REAL GDP REAL INCOME REAL TERMS REAL WAGES REDUCING POVERTY RELATIVE IMPORTANCE RURAL AREAS RURAL HOUSEHOLDS RURAL POOR RURAL POPULATION RURAL POVERTY SAVINGS SCHOOLING ATTAINMENT SOCIAL COSTS SOCIAL SERVICES SUBSTITUTION ELASTICITIES TARIFF BARRIERS TARIFF RATES TARIFF REDUCTION TERMS OF TRADE TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY TRADE BARRIERS TRADE LIBERALIZATION TRADE PATTERNS TRADE POLICY TRADE REFORM TRADE REFORMS TRADE REGIME TRADE SHOCKS TRANSACTIONS COSTS TRANSFER PAYMENTS UNILATERAL LIBERALIZATION UNILATERAL TRADE UNILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION UNSKILLED LABOR UNSKILLED WORKERS URBAN AREA URBAN AREAS URBAN HOUSEHOLDS URBAN POPULATION URBAN POPULATIONS URBAN POVERTY WAGE GAP WAGE RATE WAGE RATES WAGES WELFARE LOSS WORLD PRICES WTO
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/09/6259368/impacts-doha-development-agenda-china-role-labor-markets-complementary-education-reforms http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8594

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Summary:	The authors assess the implications of multilateral trade reforms for poverty in China. They do so by combining results from a global modeling exercise with a national CGE model that features disaggregated households in both the rural and urban sectors. They examine two trade reform scenarios: one involving global trade liberalization, and one involving possible Doha Development Agenda reforms. Using the World Bank's $2 a day poverty line, the authors find that multilateral trade reforms do in fact reduce poverty in China. The biggest reductions occur in the rural areas-largely as a result of higher prices for farm products.

Impacts of the Doha Development Agenda on China : The Role of Labor Markets and Complementary Education Reforms

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