Diversification, Innovation, and Imitation inside the Global Technological Frontier

Recent research highlights the relationship between economic development and productive diversification, which may be hindered by market failures. After identifying stages of diversification in disaggregated export data, the authors develop a metric for the flows of export "discoveries," o...

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Main Authors: Klinger, Bailey, Lederman, Daniel
Format: Policy Research Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/04/6682641/diversification-innovation-imitation-inside-global-technological-frontier
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8735
id okr-10986-8735
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-87352021-04-23T14:02:40Z Diversification, Innovation, and Imitation inside the Global Technological Frontier Klinger, Bailey Lederman, Daniel ABSOLUTE VALUE AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE BARRIER BARRIERS TO ENTRY BUSINESS ECONOMICS CHANNEL COMMERCIAL POLICY COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE COUNTRY LEVEL DEPENDENT VARIABLE DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DEVELOPMENT REPORT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY DIVERSIFICATION ECONOMETRICS ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY ECONOMICS RESEARCH EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE EMPIRICAL MODEL EMPIRICAL MODELS EMPIRICAL REGULARITIES ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS ESTIMATION RESULTS EXCHANGE RATES EXPECTED RETURNS EXPLANATORY VARIABLES EXPORT EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION EXPORT GROWTH EXPORTS FACTOR ENDOWMENTS FUNCTIONAL FORM FUTURE RESEARCH GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH POLICIES GROWTH POLICY GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES INCOME INCOME LEVELS INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS INDUSTRIAL POLICY INDUSTRIALIZATION INTERNATIONAL TRADE INVESTMENT CLIMATE MARGINAL EFFECT MARKET FAILURE MARKET FAILURES MERCHANDISE MERCHANDISE EXPORTS MERCHANDISE TRADE MIDDLE EAST NEGATIVE EFFECT NET EXPORTS PATENTS POINT ESTIMATE POLICY IMPLICATIONS POLICY RESEARCH POOR COUNTRIES PRODUCTION COSTS PROFITABILITY PROGRAMS PROPERTY RIGHTS RANGE REGRESSION ANALYSIS SAFETY SAFETY STANDARDS SIGNIFICANT EFFECT SMALL BUSINESS SPUR STANDARD DEVIATION UPPER Recent research highlights the relationship between economic development and productive diversification, which may be hindered by market failures. After identifying stages of diversification in disaggregated export data, the authors develop a metric for the flows of export "discoveries," or inside-the-frontier innovations in developing countries. They then explore the empirical relationship between economic development and (1) inside-the-frontier-innovation as reflected by the introduction of new export products, (2) export diversification measured by an index of export-revenue concentration, and (3) on-the-frontier innovation as reflected in patents. The data suggest, unsurprisingly, that inside-the-frontier innovation is more common among poor countries than among industrial economies. Overall export diversification increases at low levels of development but declines with development after a high-income point, whereas patenting activity rises exponentially with development. The data also suggest that the relationship between the frequency of export discoveries and economic development is not due to changes in the industrial composition of exports. The authors use a simple model of innovation and imitation to test the hypothesis that the threat of imitation inhibits the discovery of new exports. Econometric evidence suggests that the frequency of export discoveries across countries rises with the returns of export activities (proxied by exogenous export growth during the sample period), but the magnitude of this effect increases with barriers to entry. The count-data estimations deal with unobserved international heterogeneity, and the results are robust to various changes in the specification of the empirical model. This finding supports the hypothesis that market failures inhibit inside-the-frontier innovation. 2012-06-21T21:41:54Z 2012-06-21T21:41:54Z 2006-04 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/04/6682641/diversification-innovation-imitation-inside-global-technological-frontier http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8735 English Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3872 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic ABSOLUTE VALUE
AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
BARRIER
BARRIERS TO ENTRY
BUSINESS ECONOMICS
CHANNEL
COMMERCIAL POLICY
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COUNTRY LEVEL
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT REPORT
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
DIVERSIFICATION
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY
ECONOMICS RESEARCH
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL MODEL
EMPIRICAL MODELS
EMPIRICAL REGULARITIES
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS
ESTIMATION RESULTS
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPECTED RETURNS
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
EXPORT
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORTS
FACTOR ENDOWMENTS
FUNCTIONAL FORM
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH POLICIES
GROWTH POLICY
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS
INDUSTRIAL POLICY
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
MARGINAL EFFECT
MARKET FAILURE
MARKET FAILURES
MERCHANDISE
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS
MERCHANDISE TRADE
MIDDLE EAST
NEGATIVE EFFECT
NET EXPORTS
PATENTS
POINT ESTIMATE
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POOR COUNTRIES
PRODUCTION COSTS
PROFITABILITY
PROGRAMS
PROPERTY RIGHTS
RANGE
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
SAFETY
SAFETY STANDARDS
SIGNIFICANT EFFECT
SMALL BUSINESS
SPUR
STANDARD DEVIATION
UPPER
spellingShingle ABSOLUTE VALUE
AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL GROWTH
ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
BARRIER
BARRIERS TO ENTRY
BUSINESS ECONOMICS
CHANNEL
COMMERCIAL POLICY
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
COUNTRY LEVEL
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DEVELOPMENT REPORT
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
DIVERSIFICATION
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY
ECONOMICS RESEARCH
EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
EMPIRICAL MODEL
EMPIRICAL MODELS
EMPIRICAL REGULARITIES
ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS
ESTIMATION RESULTS
EXCHANGE RATES
EXPECTED RETURNS
EXPLANATORY VARIABLES
EXPORT
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORT GROWTH
EXPORTS
FACTOR ENDOWMENTS
FUNCTIONAL FORM
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GDP PER CAPITA
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
GROWTH POLICIES
GROWTH POLICY
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
INCOME
INCOME LEVELS
INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS
INDUSTRIAL POLICY
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INVESTMENT CLIMATE
MARGINAL EFFECT
MARKET FAILURE
MARKET FAILURES
MERCHANDISE
MERCHANDISE EXPORTS
MERCHANDISE TRADE
MIDDLE EAST
NEGATIVE EFFECT
NET EXPORTS
PATENTS
POINT ESTIMATE
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POLICY RESEARCH
POOR COUNTRIES
PRODUCTION COSTS
PROFITABILITY
PROGRAMS
PROPERTY RIGHTS
RANGE
REGRESSION ANALYSIS
SAFETY
SAFETY STANDARDS
SIGNIFICANT EFFECT
SMALL BUSINESS
SPUR
STANDARD DEVIATION
UPPER
Klinger, Bailey
Lederman, Daniel
Diversification, Innovation, and Imitation inside the Global Technological Frontier
relation Policy Research Working Paper; No. 3872
description Recent research highlights the relationship between economic development and productive diversification, which may be hindered by market failures. After identifying stages of diversification in disaggregated export data, the authors develop a metric for the flows of export "discoveries," or inside-the-frontier innovations in developing countries. They then explore the empirical relationship between economic development and (1) inside-the-frontier-innovation as reflected by the introduction of new export products, (2) export diversification measured by an index of export-revenue concentration, and (3) on-the-frontier innovation as reflected in patents. The data suggest, unsurprisingly, that inside-the-frontier innovation is more common among poor countries than among industrial economies. Overall export diversification increases at low levels of development but declines with development after a high-income point, whereas patenting activity rises exponentially with development. The data also suggest that the relationship between the frequency of export discoveries and economic development is not due to changes in the industrial composition of exports. The authors use a simple model of innovation and imitation to test the hypothesis that the threat of imitation inhibits the discovery of new exports. Econometric evidence suggests that the frequency of export discoveries across countries rises with the returns of export activities (proxied by exogenous export growth during the sample period), but the magnitude of this effect increases with barriers to entry. The count-data estimations deal with unobserved international heterogeneity, and the results are robust to various changes in the specification of the empirical model. This finding supports the hypothesis that market failures inhibit inside-the-frontier innovation.
format Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author Klinger, Bailey
Lederman, Daniel
author_facet Klinger, Bailey
Lederman, Daniel
author_sort Klinger, Bailey
title Diversification, Innovation, and Imitation inside the Global Technological Frontier
title_short Diversification, Innovation, and Imitation inside the Global Technological Frontier
title_full Diversification, Innovation, and Imitation inside the Global Technological Frontier
title_fullStr Diversification, Innovation, and Imitation inside the Global Technological Frontier
title_full_unstemmed Diversification, Innovation, and Imitation inside the Global Technological Frontier
title_sort diversification, innovation, and imitation inside the global technological frontier
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2012
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2006/04/6682641/diversification-innovation-imitation-inside-global-technological-frontier
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8735
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