Projection of storm surge climate extreme over sunda shelf based on IPCC SRES A2 scenario

The historical and future storm surge climate over the South China Sea Sunda Shelf was derived using a barotropic two dimensional model. The atmospheric forcings were obtained from the UKMO regional climate modeling system, PRECIS (Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies), forced at the boun...

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Main Authors: Wah, Shin How, Halimatun Muhamad, Fredolin T. Tangang, Liew, Juneng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2012
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5577/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5577/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5577/1/10%2520Wah%2520Shin%2520How.pdf
id ukm-5577
recordtype eprints
spelling ukm-55772016-12-14T06:38:52Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5577/ Projection of storm surge climate extreme over sunda shelf based on IPCC SRES A2 scenario Wah, Shin How Halimatun Muhamad, Fredolin T. Tangang, Liew, Juneng The historical and future storm surge climate over the South China Sea Sunda Shelf was derived using a barotropic two dimensional model. The atmospheric forcings were obtained from the UKMO regional climate modeling system, PRECIS (Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies), forced at the boundary by the ECHAM4 simulation output under the SRES A2 emission experiment. In general, the model simulates historical sea surface elevation characteristics satisfactory although there is a substantial underestimation for the sea level elevation at local scales. The climate change analysis suggests that the storm surge extreme over the Sunda Shelf is expected to increase along the coastal area of the Gulf of Thailand and east coast of Peninsular Malaysia in the future (2071 – 2100). The projected increment is averagely ~9% over the Sunda Shelf region by the end of the 21st century corresponding to about 5% stronger wind speed as compare to the baseline period of 1961-1990. Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2012-11 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5577/1/10%2520Wah%2520Shin%2520How.pdf Wah, Shin How and Halimatun Muhamad, and Fredolin T. Tangang, and Liew, Juneng (2012) Projection of storm surge climate extreme over sunda shelf based on IPCC SRES A2 scenario. Sains Malaysiana, 41 (11). pp. 1411-1422. ISSN 0126-6039 http://www.ukm.my/jsm/
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Local University
institution Universiti Kebangasaan Malaysia
building UKM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
language English
description The historical and future storm surge climate over the South China Sea Sunda Shelf was derived using a barotropic two dimensional model. The atmospheric forcings were obtained from the UKMO regional climate modeling system, PRECIS (Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies), forced at the boundary by the ECHAM4 simulation output under the SRES A2 emission experiment. In general, the model simulates historical sea surface elevation characteristics satisfactory although there is a substantial underestimation for the sea level elevation at local scales. The climate change analysis suggests that the storm surge extreme over the Sunda Shelf is expected to increase along the coastal area of the Gulf of Thailand and east coast of Peninsular Malaysia in the future (2071 – 2100). The projected increment is averagely ~9% over the Sunda Shelf region by the end of the 21st century corresponding to about 5% stronger wind speed as compare to the baseline period of 1961-1990.
format Article
author Wah, Shin How
Halimatun Muhamad,
Fredolin T. Tangang,
Liew, Juneng
spellingShingle Wah, Shin How
Halimatun Muhamad,
Fredolin T. Tangang,
Liew, Juneng
Projection of storm surge climate extreme over sunda shelf based on IPCC SRES A2 scenario
author_facet Wah, Shin How
Halimatun Muhamad,
Fredolin T. Tangang,
Liew, Juneng
author_sort Wah, Shin How
title Projection of storm surge climate extreme over sunda shelf based on IPCC SRES A2 scenario
title_short Projection of storm surge climate extreme over sunda shelf based on IPCC SRES A2 scenario
title_full Projection of storm surge climate extreme over sunda shelf based on IPCC SRES A2 scenario
title_fullStr Projection of storm surge climate extreme over sunda shelf based on IPCC SRES A2 scenario
title_full_unstemmed Projection of storm surge climate extreme over sunda shelf based on IPCC SRES A2 scenario
title_sort projection of storm surge climate extreme over sunda shelf based on ipcc sres a2 scenario
publisher Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
publishDate 2012
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5577/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5577/
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/5577/1/10%2520Wah%2520Shin%2520How.pdf
first_indexed 2023-09-18T19:44:30Z
last_indexed 2023-09-18T19:44:30Z
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