Flood forecasting at Kinabatangan River, Sabah by utilizing artificial neural network (ann)

Flood event is among the most influential disaster in Malaysia .Therefore, the developing of flood forecasting model is to minimize the effects of flood and to achieve a model with high accuracy by utilizing Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Artificial Neural Network is a highly non-linear and can ca...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Wan Nurul Hafizah, Abd Razak
Format: Undergraduates Project Papers
Language:English
English
English
Published: 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11933/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11933/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11933/1/FSSKA-%20WAN%20NURULHAFIZAH%20BT%20ABD%20RAZAK%20%289330%29.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11933/7/FSSKA-%20WAN%20NURULHAFIZAH%20BT%20ABD%20RAZAK%20%289330%29%20-%20CHAP%201.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/11933/8/FSSKA-%20WAN%20NURULHAFIZAH%20BT%20ABD%20RAZAK%20%289330%29%20-%20CHAP%203.pdf
Description
Summary:Flood event is among the most influential disaster in Malaysia .Therefore, the developing of flood forecasting model is to minimize the effects of flood and to achieve a model with high accuracy by utilizing Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Artificial Neural Network is a highly non-linear and can capture the complex interactions among input variables in a system without any prior knowledge about the nature of these interactions. Nowadays, ANN is widely used in prediction and forecasting in water resources. The area of study the flood forecasting is carried out at the Balat Station, Kinabatangan River, Sabah where the hourly water level data is collected from Department of Irrigation and Drainage (DID) from year 2000 until 2014. The results indicated that the model develop a highest accuracy is 6 hour time interval for 4000 iteration where the NSC result is 0.996 with lower RMSE 155.341 compared to others iteration and time interval. This modal achieved 100% at allowable error less than 500 mm which is show the prediction of water level. As a conclusion, this model shows high accuracy and water level can be used alone. This can be applied in the real world to give out warning on imminent flood.