Assessment the Potential of SRES Scenario for Kuala Sala, Malaysia

The diversity of SRES scenarios that has potential to produce different increment of climatic trend reflects to the future expectation on development patterns. The selection of an appropriate emission scenario is important to present the appropriate climatic trend suit to the site study. The main ob...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat, Nor Azlina, Alias
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	International Organization of Scientific Research (IOSR) 2016
Subjects:	T Technology (General) TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Online Access:	http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13035/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13035/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13035/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13035/1/Assessment%20the%20potential%20of%20SRES%20scenario%20for%20kuala%20sala%20malaysia.pdf

id	ump-13035
recordtype	eprints
spelling	ump-130352018-05-21T02:42:06Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13035/ Assessment the Potential of SRES Scenario for Kuala Sala, Malaysia Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat Nor Azlina, Alias T Technology (General) TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) The diversity of SRES scenarios that has potential to produce different increment of climatic trend reflects to the future expectation on development patterns. The selection of an appropriate emission scenario is important to present the appropriate climatic trend suit to the site study. The main objective is to determine appropriate emission scenarios and potential increment of rainfall in the upcoming year Δ2020 and Δ2050 for site study. Two climate projection models; SDSM and PRECIS models were used to generate the future rainfall trends using A2, B2 and A1B scenarios. The result showed the B2 scenario has potential to produce similar trend to the historical for the Kuala Sala station, in Kedah, followed by the A2 scenario. Scenario A1B is estimated to underestimate/overestimate through a year affected by the coordinate gap selection of site study. Generally, the annual rainfall intensity predicted varies for different SRES scenarios and reflect to the future expectation on development patterns. The highest rainfall increment is predicted by using the B2 scenario (about 2638mm/year) until year Δ2050. A1B is predicted to produce the lowest increment. The heaviest monthly rainfall, predicted to occur twice a year, is influenced by the seasonal monsoon effects. This study proved that different emissions will produce diverse rainfall trends due to the influence of greenhouse gases. International Organization of Scientific Research (IOSR) 2016 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13035/1/Assessment%20the%20potential%20of%20SRES%20scenario%20for%20kuala%20sala%20malaysia.pdf Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat and Nor Azlina, Alias (2016) Assessment the Potential of SRES Scenario for Kuala Sala, Malaysia. IOSR Journal of Mechanical and Civil Engineering (IOSR-JMCE), 13 (3). pp. 6-12. ISSN 2320-334X (Print); 2278-1684 (Online) http://www.iosrjournals.org/iosr-jmce/papers/vol13-issue3/Version-1/B1303010612.pdf DOI: 10.9790/1684-1303010612
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Local University
institution	Universiti Malaysia Pahang
building	UMP Institutional Repository
collection	Online Access
language	English
topic	T Technology (General) TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
spellingShingle	T Technology (General) TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat Nor Azlina, Alias Assessment the Potential of SRES Scenario for Kuala Sala, Malaysia
description	The diversity of SRES scenarios that has potential to produce different increment of climatic trend reflects to the future expectation on development patterns. The selection of an appropriate emission scenario is important to present the appropriate climatic trend suit to the site study. The main objective is to determine appropriate emission scenarios and potential increment of rainfall in the upcoming year Δ2020 and Δ2050 for site study. Two climate projection models; SDSM and PRECIS models were used to generate the future rainfall trends using A2, B2 and A1B scenarios. The result showed the B2 scenario has potential to produce similar trend to the historical for the Kuala Sala station, in Kedah, followed by the A2 scenario. Scenario A1B is estimated to underestimate/overestimate through a year affected by the coordinate gap selection of site study. Generally, the annual rainfall intensity predicted varies for different SRES scenarios and reflect to the future expectation on development patterns. The highest rainfall increment is predicted by using the B2 scenario (about 2638mm/year) until year Δ2050. A1B is predicted to produce the lowest increment. The heaviest monthly rainfall, predicted to occur twice a year, is influenced by the seasonal monsoon effects. This study proved that different emissions will produce diverse rainfall trends due to the influence of greenhouse gases.
format	Article
author	Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat Nor Azlina, Alias
author_facet	Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat Nor Azlina, Alias
author_sort	Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat
title	Assessment the Potential of SRES Scenario for Kuala Sala, Malaysia
title_short	Assessment the Potential of SRES Scenario for Kuala Sala, Malaysia
title_full	Assessment the Potential of SRES Scenario for Kuala Sala, Malaysia
title_fullStr	Assessment the Potential of SRES Scenario for Kuala Sala, Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed	Assessment the Potential of SRES Scenario for Kuala Sala, Malaysia
title_sort	assessment the potential of sres scenario for kuala sala, malaysia
publisher	International Organization of Scientific Research (IOSR)
publishDate	2016
url	http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13035/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13035/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13035/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13035/1/Assessment%20the%20potential%20of%20SRES%20scenario%20for%20kuala%20sala%20malaysia.pdf
first_indexed	2023-09-18T22:15:12Z
last_indexed	2023-09-18T22:15:12Z
_version_	1777415290415480832

Assessment the Potential of SRES Scenario for Kuala Sala, Malaysia

Similar Items