Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state

This paper assesses the projection of future changes that focus on climatic trend at Pahang state. To analyse this changes of climate, one of the models are used to stimulate this projection which is using statistical downscaling model (SDSM). In this study, the SDSM has been measured using predicto...

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Main Author:	Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi
Format:	Undergraduates Project Papers
Language:	English English English English
Published:	2016
Subjects:	TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Online Access:	http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/1/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-Table%20of%20contents-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/7/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-Abstract-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/8/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-Chapter%201-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/9/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-References-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf

id	ump-16140
recordtype	eprints
spelling	ump-161402017-01-19T07:46:30Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/ Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) This paper assesses the projection of future changes that focus on climatic trend at Pahang state. To analyse this changes of climate, one of the models are used to stimulate this projection which is using statistical downscaling model (SDSM). In this study, the SDSM has been measured using predictor derived from National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). About 5 predictors were selected for 12 rainfall stations and 1 temperature station based on the correlation value between predictors-predictant relationships Moreover, statistical downscaling model are used to produce the possible projection values of local meteorological variable such as temperature and rainfall at the location already selected which is at Pahang state. The purpose of this study is to generate the future climate trend in term of temperature, rainfall and wet and dry length in the future year 2010 to 2099. This study also wants to estimate the percentage of climatic changes between historical and upcoming at future year. Using SDSM model, the result will be more performed better than other model. The calibrated and validated results show the SDSM produce good simulated result with average error only 0.3% for temperature and 10% for rainfall. 2016-06 Undergraduates Project Papers NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/1/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-Table%20of%20contents-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/7/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-Abstract-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/8/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-Chapter%201-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/9/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-References-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi (2016) Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state. Faculty of Civil Engineering and Earth Resources, Universiti Malaysia Pahang. http://iportal.ump.edu.my/lib/item?id=chamo:98141&theme=UMP2
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Local University
institution	Universiti Malaysia Pahang
building	UMP Institutional Repository
collection	Online Access
language	English English English English
topic	TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
spellingShingle	TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
description	This paper assesses the projection of future changes that focus on climatic trend at Pahang state. To analyse this changes of climate, one of the models are used to stimulate this projection which is using statistical downscaling model (SDSM). In this study, the SDSM has been measured using predictor derived from National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). About 5 predictors were selected for 12 rainfall stations and 1 temperature station based on the correlation value between predictors-predictant relationships Moreover, statistical downscaling model are used to produce the possible projection values of local meteorological variable such as temperature and rainfall at the location already selected which is at Pahang state. The purpose of this study is to generate the future climate trend in term of temperature, rainfall and wet and dry length in the future year 2010 to 2099. This study also wants to estimate the percentage of climatic changes between historical and upcoming at future year. Using SDSM model, the result will be more performed better than other model. The calibrated and validated results show the SDSM produce good simulated result with average error only 0.3% for temperature and 10% for rainfall.
format	Undergraduates Project Papers
author	Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi
author_facet	Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi
author_sort	Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi
title	Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
title_short	Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
title_full	Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
title_fullStr	Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
title_full_unstemmed	Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
title_sort	projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at pahang state
publishDate	2016
url	http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/1/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-Table%20of%20contents-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/7/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-Abstract-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/8/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-Chapter%201-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/9/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-References-FKASA-Nur%20Hanani%20Farhah%20Mohd%20Hilmi-CD%2010230.pdf
first_indexed	2023-09-18T22:21:32Z
last_indexed	2023-09-18T22:21:32Z
_version_	1777415689849536512

Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state

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