Predictive Inference for Bivariate Data with Nonparametric Copula

This study presents a new nonparametric method for prediction of a future bivariate observation, by combining non-parametric predictive inference (NPI) for the marginals with nonparametric copula. In this paper we specifically use kernel method to take dependence structure into account. NPI is a fre...

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Main Authors: Noryanti, Muhammad, Coolen, Frank P. A., Coolen-Maturi, Tahani
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
Published: AIP Publishing 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/18628/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/18628/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/18628/1/fist-2016-yanti-Predictive%20Inference%20for%20Bivariate%20Data1.pdf
id ump-18628
recordtype eprints
spelling ump-186282017-10-31T06:28:18Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/18628/ Predictive Inference for Bivariate Data with Nonparametric Copula Noryanti, Muhammad Coolen, Frank P. A. Coolen-Maturi, Tahani QA Mathematics This study presents a new nonparametric method for prediction of a future bivariate observation, by combining non-parametric predictive inference (NPI) for the marginals with nonparametric copula. In this paper we specifically use kernel method to take dependence structure into account. NPI is a frequentist statistical framework for inference on a future observation based on past data observations. NPI uses lower and upper probabilities to quantify uncertainty and is based on only few modelling assumptions. While, copula is a well-known statistical concept for modelling dependence of random variables. A copula is a joint distribution function whose marginals are all uniformly distributed and it can be used to model the dependence separately from the marginal distributions. We estimate the copula density using kernel method and investigate the performance of this method via simulations. We discuss the simulation results to show how our method performs for different sample sizes and apply the method to data sets from the literature and briefly outline related challenges and opportunities for future research. AIP Publishing 2016 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/18628/1/fist-2016-yanti-Predictive%20Inference%20for%20Bivariate%20Data1.pdf Noryanti, Muhammad and Coolen, Frank P. A. and Coolen-Maturi, Tahani (2016) Predictive Inference for Bivariate Data with Nonparametric Copula. In: AIP Conference Proceedings: Advances In Industrial And Applied Mathematics, Proceedings of 23rd Malaysian National Symposium of Mathematical Sciences (SKSM23), 24-26 November 2015 , Johor Bahru, Malaysia. pp. 1-8., 1750 (1). ISBN 978-0-7354-1407-5 https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4954609
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Local University
institution Universiti Malaysia Pahang
building UMP Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
language English
topic QA Mathematics
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
Noryanti, Muhammad
Coolen, Frank P. A.
Coolen-Maturi, Tahani
Predictive Inference for Bivariate Data with Nonparametric Copula
description This study presents a new nonparametric method for prediction of a future bivariate observation, by combining non-parametric predictive inference (NPI) for the marginals with nonparametric copula. In this paper we specifically use kernel method to take dependence structure into account. NPI is a frequentist statistical framework for inference on a future observation based on past data observations. NPI uses lower and upper probabilities to quantify uncertainty and is based on only few modelling assumptions. While, copula is a well-known statistical concept for modelling dependence of random variables. A copula is a joint distribution function whose marginals are all uniformly distributed and it can be used to model the dependence separately from the marginal distributions. We estimate the copula density using kernel method and investigate the performance of this method via simulations. We discuss the simulation results to show how our method performs for different sample sizes and apply the method to data sets from the literature and briefly outline related challenges and opportunities for future research.
format Conference or Workshop Item
author Noryanti, Muhammad
Coolen, Frank P. A.
Coolen-Maturi, Tahani
author_facet Noryanti, Muhammad
Coolen, Frank P. A.
Coolen-Maturi, Tahani
author_sort Noryanti, Muhammad
title Predictive Inference for Bivariate Data with Nonparametric Copula
title_short Predictive Inference for Bivariate Data with Nonparametric Copula
title_full Predictive Inference for Bivariate Data with Nonparametric Copula
title_fullStr Predictive Inference for Bivariate Data with Nonparametric Copula
title_full_unstemmed Predictive Inference for Bivariate Data with Nonparametric Copula
title_sort predictive inference for bivariate data with nonparametric copula
publisher AIP Publishing
publishDate 2016
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/18628/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/18628/
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/18628/1/fist-2016-yanti-Predictive%20Inference%20for%20Bivariate%20Data1.pdf
first_indexed 2023-09-18T22:26:29Z
last_indexed 2023-09-18T22:26:29Z
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