Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to provide an assessment of Malaysia's renewable capacity target. Malaysia relies heavily on fossil fuels for electricity generation. To diversify the fuel-mix, a technology-specific target has been set by the government in 2010. Considering the complexity...

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Main Authors:	Salman, Ahmad, Razman, Mat Tahar
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	Emerald Group Publishing Limited 2013
Subjects:	TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Online Access:	http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/1/Ftech-2014-salman-Using_System_Dynamics_abs_only.pdf

id	ump-5396
recordtype	eprints
spelling	ump-53962015-03-03T09:24:37Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia Salman, Ahmad Razman, Mat Tahar TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to provide an assessment of Malaysia's renewable capacity target. Malaysia relies heavily on fossil fuels for electricity generation. To diversify the fuel-mix, a technology-specific target has been set by the government in 2010. Considering the complexity in generation expansion, there is a dire need for an assessment model that can evaluate policy in a feedback fashion. The study also aims to expand policy evaluation literature in electricity domain by taking a dynamic systems approach. Design/methodology/approach: System dynamics modelling and simulation approach is used in this study. The model variables, selected from literature, are constituted into casual loop diagram. Later, a stock and flow diagram is developed by integrating planning, construction, operation, and decision making sub-models. The dynamic interactions between the sub-sectors are analysed based on the short-, medium- and long-term policy targets. Findings: Annual capacity constructions fail to achieve short-, medium- and long-term targets. However, the difference in operational capacity and medium- and long-term target are small. In terms of technology, solar photovoltaic (PV) attains the highest level of capacity followed by biomass. Research limitations/implications: While financial calculations are crucial for capacity expansion decisions, currently they are not being modelled; this study primarily focuses on system delays and exogenous components only. Practical implications: A useful model that offers regulators and investors insights on system characteristics and policy targets simultaneously. Originality/value: This paper provides a model for evaluating policy for renewable capacity expansion development in a dynamic context, for Malaysia. Emerald Group Publishing Limited 2013 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/1/Ftech-2014-salman-Using_System_Dynamics_abs_only.pdf Salman, Ahmad and Razman, Mat Tahar (2013) Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia. Kybernetes, 43 (1). pp. 24-39. ISSN 0368-492X http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/K-10-2012-0092 DOI:10.1108/K-10-2012-0092
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Local University
institution	Universiti Malaysia Pahang
building	UMP Institutional Repository
collection	Online Access
language	English
topic	TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
spellingShingle	TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering Salman, Ahmad Razman, Mat Tahar Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia
description	Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to provide an assessment of Malaysia's renewable capacity target. Malaysia relies heavily on fossil fuels for electricity generation. To diversify the fuel-mix, a technology-specific target has been set by the government in 2010. Considering the complexity in generation expansion, there is a dire need for an assessment model that can evaluate policy in a feedback fashion. The study also aims to expand policy evaluation literature in electricity domain by taking a dynamic systems approach. Design/methodology/approach: System dynamics modelling and simulation approach is used in this study. The model variables, selected from literature, are constituted into casual loop diagram. Later, a stock and flow diagram is developed by integrating planning, construction, operation, and decision making sub-models. The dynamic interactions between the sub-sectors are analysed based on the short-, medium- and long-term policy targets. Findings: Annual capacity constructions fail to achieve short-, medium- and long-term targets. However, the difference in operational capacity and medium- and long-term target are small. In terms of technology, solar photovoltaic (PV) attains the highest level of capacity followed by biomass. Research limitations/implications: While financial calculations are crucial for capacity expansion decisions, currently they are not being modelled; this study primarily focuses on system delays and exogenous components only. Practical implications: A useful model that offers regulators and investors insights on system characteristics and policy targets simultaneously. Originality/value: This paper provides a model for evaluating policy for renewable capacity expansion development in a dynamic context, for Malaysia.
format	Article
author	Salman, Ahmad Razman, Mat Tahar
author_facet	Salman, Ahmad Razman, Mat Tahar
author_sort	Salman, Ahmad
title	Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia
title_short	Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia
title_full	Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia
title_fullStr	Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed	Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia
title_sort	using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in malaysia
publisher	Emerald Group Publishing Limited
publishDate	2013
url	http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/ http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/5396/1/Ftech-2014-salman-Using_System_Dynamics_abs_only.pdf
first_indexed	2023-09-18T22:00:43Z
last_indexed	2023-09-18T22:00:43Z
_version_	1777414379948474368

Using system dynamics to evaluate renewable electricity development in Malaysia

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