Uncertainty and Climate Variability in the Design and Operation of Water Resources Projects : Examples and Case Studies

There are two common problems in flood hydrology: 1) estimate the return period for a given flood; and 2) estimate the flood for a given return period. A commonly used procedure to solve these problems is to fit a probability density function such...

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Main Authors: Rodríguez-Iturbe, Ignacio, Valdés, Juan B.
Format: Other Environmental Study
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2013
Subjects:
CO
GCM
GHG
WMO
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2011/11/17837367/uncertainty-climate-variability-design-operation-water-resources-projects-examples-case-studies-vol-1-2-annexes
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15813
id okr-10986-15813
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
ANNUAL RAINFALL
ANNUAL VARIATIONS
ANOXIC CONDITIONS
ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE
ATMOSPHERE
AVAILABILITY OF WATER
AVERAGE RAINFALL
BASINS
CALCULATION
CAPACITY BUILDING
CASE STUDIES
CATCHMENT AREA
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS
CLIMATE CONDITIONS
CLIMATE FLUCTUATIONS
CLIMATE IMPACT
CLIMATE PROJECTIONS
CLIMATE SIMULATIONS
CLIMATE UNCERTAINTY
CLIMATE VARIABILITY
CLIMATIC CHANGE
CLIMATIC CHARACTERISTICS
CLIMATIC IMPACTS
CLIMATIC VARIABILITY
CLOUDS
CO
COLORS
CONSTRUCTION
COPE WITH CLIMATE CHANGE
CROPS
DAMS
DECISION MAKERS
DEFORESTATION
DISCHARGE
DOMINANT VEGETATION
DRAINAGE
DROUGHT
DROUGHT CONDITIONS
DRY PERIODS
ECOSYSTEM
ECOSYSTEM STRUCTURE
ECOSYSTEMS
EFFECT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY
EMISSION
EMISSION SCENARIOS
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS SCENARIOS
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT
EVAPORATION
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION
EXTREME VALUES
FAT TAILS
FINANCIAL CONTRIBUTION
FLOOD CONTROL
FLOOD FORECASTING
FLOOD FREQUENCY
FLOOD RISK
FLOODS
FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE
GCM
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
GHG
GREENHOUSE
GREENHOUSE GASES
GROUND SURFACE
GROUNDWATER
GROUNDWATER RECHARGE
GROWING SEASON
HIGHLANDS
HUMAN INTERVENTION
HUMID REGIONS
HYDROLOGIC CHANGES
HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS
HYDROLOGIC CYCLE
HYDROLOGIC MODELS
HYDROLOGIC PARAMETERS
HYDROLOGIC RECORDS
HYDROLOGIC REGIME
HYDROLOGIC REGIMES
HYDROLOGIC VARIABLES
HYDROLOGICAL MODELS
HYDROLOGISTS
HYDROLOGY
HYDROPOWER DEVELOPMENT
IMPACT OF CLIMATE
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
IMPACT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY
INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
LAND MANAGEMENT
LAND USE
LAND-SURFACE
LONG-TERM CLIMATE VARIABILITY
MAGNITUDE OF CLIMATE CHANGE
MANAGEMENT OF WATER
MEAN RAINFALL
METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION
MITIGATION
PALEOCLIMATOLOGY
PEAK FLOWS
PRECIPITATION
PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES
PROBABILITY DENSITY
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
RAIN
RAINFALL
RAINFALL INTENSITY
RAINFALL MEAN
RAINFALL PATTERNS
RAINFALL SCENARIOS
RAINY DAYS
RAINY SEASONS
RANGES
REGIONAL CLIMATE
RESERVOIR
RESERVOIRS
RESTORATION
RIVER
RIVER BASIN
RUNOFF
SAMPLE SIZE
SEASONAL PRECIPITATION
SEASONAL RAINFALL
SEDIMENT
SERVICE PROVISION
SPECIES
SPECIES COMPOSITION
STATISTICAL METHODS
STOCHASTIC PROCESS
STORM EVENTS
STUDY AREA
SUBLIMATION
SURFACE BOUNDARY
SURFACE RUNOFF
SURFACE WATER
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY
TEMPORAL RESOLUTION
TROPICS
UNCERTAINTIES
USE OF WATER
VEGETATION
VEGETATION PATTERNS
WATER MANAGEMENT
WATER RESOURCES
WATER SUPPLY
WATER TABLE
WATER USE
WATERSHED
WATERSHED MANAGEMENT
WETLAND
WETLAND SYSTEM
WETLAND VEGETATION
WETLAND WATER
WETLANDS
WMO
spellingShingle AGRICULTURE
ANNUAL PRECIPITATION
ANNUAL RAINFALL
ANNUAL VARIATIONS
ANOXIC CONDITIONS
ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE
ATMOSPHERE
AVAILABILITY OF WATER
AVERAGE RAINFALL
BASINS
CALCULATION
CAPACITY BUILDING
CASE STUDIES
CATCHMENT AREA
CLIMATE
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS
CLIMATE CONDITIONS
CLIMATE FLUCTUATIONS
CLIMATE IMPACT
CLIMATE PROJECTIONS
CLIMATE SIMULATIONS
CLIMATE UNCERTAINTY
CLIMATE VARIABILITY
CLIMATIC CHANGE
CLIMATIC CHARACTERISTICS
CLIMATIC IMPACTS
CLIMATIC VARIABILITY
CLOUDS
CO
COLORS
CONSTRUCTION
COPE WITH CLIMATE CHANGE
CROPS
DAMS
DECISION MAKERS
DEFORESTATION
DISCHARGE
DOMINANT VEGETATION
DRAINAGE
DROUGHT
DROUGHT CONDITIONS
DRY PERIODS
ECOSYSTEM
ECOSYSTEM STRUCTURE
ECOSYSTEMS
EFFECT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY
EMISSION
EMISSION SCENARIOS
EMISSIONS
EMISSIONS SCENARIOS
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT
EVAPORATION
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION
EXTREME VALUES
FAT TAILS
FINANCIAL CONTRIBUTION
FLOOD CONTROL
FLOOD FORECASTING
FLOOD FREQUENCY
FLOOD RISK
FLOODS
FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE
GCM
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
GHG
GREENHOUSE
GREENHOUSE GASES
GROUND SURFACE
GROUNDWATER
GROUNDWATER RECHARGE
GROWING SEASON
HIGHLANDS
HUMAN INTERVENTION
HUMID REGIONS
HYDROLOGIC CHANGES
HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS
HYDROLOGIC CYCLE
HYDROLOGIC MODELS
HYDROLOGIC PARAMETERS
HYDROLOGIC RECORDS
HYDROLOGIC REGIME
HYDROLOGIC REGIMES
HYDROLOGIC VARIABLES
HYDROLOGICAL MODELS
HYDROLOGISTS
HYDROLOGY
HYDROPOWER DEVELOPMENT
IMPACT OF CLIMATE
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
IMPACT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY
INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
LAND MANAGEMENT
LAND USE
LAND-SURFACE
LONG-TERM CLIMATE VARIABILITY
MAGNITUDE OF CLIMATE CHANGE
MANAGEMENT OF WATER
MEAN RAINFALL
METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION
MITIGATION
PALEOCLIMATOLOGY
PEAK FLOWS
PRECIPITATION
PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES
PROBABILITY DENSITY
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
RAIN
RAINFALL
RAINFALL INTENSITY
RAINFALL MEAN
RAINFALL PATTERNS
RAINFALL SCENARIOS
RAINY DAYS
RAINY SEASONS
RANGES
REGIONAL CLIMATE
RESERVOIR
RESERVOIRS
RESTORATION
RIVER
RIVER BASIN
RUNOFF
SAMPLE SIZE
SEASONAL PRECIPITATION
SEASONAL RAINFALL
SEDIMENT
SERVICE PROVISION
SPECIES
SPECIES COMPOSITION
STATISTICAL METHODS
STOCHASTIC PROCESS
STORM EVENTS
STUDY AREA
SUBLIMATION
SURFACE BOUNDARY
SURFACE RUNOFF
SURFACE WATER
TEMPERATURE
TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY
TEMPORAL RESOLUTION
TROPICS
UNCERTAINTIES
USE OF WATER
VEGETATION
VEGETATION PATTERNS
WATER MANAGEMENT
WATER RESOURCES
WATER SUPPLY
WATER TABLE
WATER USE
WATERSHED
WATERSHED MANAGEMENT
WETLAND
WETLAND SYSTEM
WETLAND VEGETATION
WETLAND WATER
WETLANDS
WMO
Rodríguez-Iturbe, Ignacio
Valdés, Juan B.
Uncertainty and Climate Variability in the Design and Operation of Water Resources Projects : Examples and Case Studies
description There are two common problems in flood hydrology: 1) estimate the return period for a given flood; and 2) estimate the flood for a given return period. A commonly used procedure to solve these problems is to fit a probability density function such as the Gumbel, Pearson type three or the generalized extreme value distributions to the historical data. The Pearson probability distribution was named after the statistician Pearson, it is also called the three-parameter gamma distribution. The Mann-Kendall test is a non-parametric test for identifying trends in time series data. The test compares the relative magnitudes of sample data rather than the data values them. One benefit of this test is that the data need not conform to any particular distribution. The data values are evaluated as an ordered time series. Each data value is compared to all subsequent data values. There are basically two approaches to downscale coupled climate model projections: statistical and dynamic downscaling.
format Economic & Sector Work :: Other Environmental Study
author Rodríguez-Iturbe, Ignacio
Valdés, Juan B.
author_facet Rodríguez-Iturbe, Ignacio
Valdés, Juan B.
author_sort Rodríguez-Iturbe, Ignacio
title Uncertainty and Climate Variability in the Design and Operation of Water Resources Projects : Examples and Case Studies
title_short Uncertainty and Climate Variability in the Design and Operation of Water Resources Projects : Examples and Case Studies
title_full Uncertainty and Climate Variability in the Design and Operation of Water Resources Projects : Examples and Case Studies
title_fullStr Uncertainty and Climate Variability in the Design and Operation of Water Resources Projects : Examples and Case Studies
title_full_unstemmed Uncertainty and Climate Variability in the Design and Operation of Water Resources Projects : Examples and Case Studies
title_sort uncertainty and climate variability in the design and operation of water resources projects : examples and case studies
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2013
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2011/11/17837367/uncertainty-climate-variability-design-operation-water-resources-projects-examples-case-studies-vol-1-2-annexes
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15813
_version_ 1764431134292180992
spelling okr-10986-158132021-04-23T14:03:22Z Uncertainty and Climate Variability in the Design and Operation of Water Resources Projects : Examples and Case Studies Rodríguez-Iturbe, Ignacio Valdés, Juan B. AGRICULTURE ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ANNUAL RAINFALL ANNUAL VARIATIONS ANOXIC CONDITIONS ANTHROPOGENIC CLIMATE CHANGE ATMOSPHERE AVAILABILITY OF WATER AVERAGE RAINFALL BASINS CALCULATION CAPACITY BUILDING CASE STUDIES CATCHMENT AREA CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE FLUCTUATIONS CLIMATE IMPACT CLIMATE PROJECTIONS CLIMATE SIMULATIONS CLIMATE UNCERTAINTY CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATIC CHANGE CLIMATIC CHARACTERISTICS CLIMATIC IMPACTS CLIMATIC VARIABILITY CLOUDS CO COLORS CONSTRUCTION COPE WITH CLIMATE CHANGE CROPS DAMS DECISION MAKERS DEFORESTATION DISCHARGE DOMINANT VEGETATION DRAINAGE DROUGHT DROUGHT CONDITIONS DRY PERIODS ECOSYSTEM ECOSYSTEM STRUCTURE ECOSYSTEMS EFFECT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY EMISSION EMISSION SCENARIOS EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIOS ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT EVAPORATION EVAPOTRANSPIRATION EXTREME VALUES FAT TAILS FINANCIAL CONTRIBUTION FLOOD CONTROL FLOOD FORECASTING FLOOD FREQUENCY FLOOD RISK FLOODS FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE GCM GEOLOGICAL SURVEY GHG GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GASES GROUND SURFACE GROUNDWATER GROUNDWATER RECHARGE GROWING SEASON HIGHLANDS HUMAN INTERVENTION HUMID REGIONS HYDROLOGIC CHANGES HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS HYDROLOGIC CYCLE HYDROLOGIC MODELS HYDROLOGIC PARAMETERS HYDROLOGIC RECORDS HYDROLOGIC REGIME HYDROLOGIC REGIMES HYDROLOGIC VARIABLES HYDROLOGICAL MODELS HYDROLOGISTS HYDROLOGY HYDROPOWER DEVELOPMENT IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC LAND MANAGEMENT LAND USE LAND-SURFACE LONG-TERM CLIMATE VARIABILITY MAGNITUDE OF CLIMATE CHANGE MANAGEMENT OF WATER MEAN RAINFALL METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION MITIGATION PALEOCLIMATOLOGY PEAK FLOWS PRECIPITATION PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES PROBABILITY DENSITY PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS RAIN RAINFALL RAINFALL INTENSITY RAINFALL MEAN RAINFALL PATTERNS RAINFALL SCENARIOS RAINY DAYS RAINY SEASONS RANGES REGIONAL CLIMATE RESERVOIR RESERVOIRS RESTORATION RIVER RIVER BASIN RUNOFF SAMPLE SIZE SEASONAL PRECIPITATION SEASONAL RAINFALL SEDIMENT SERVICE PROVISION SPECIES SPECIES COMPOSITION STATISTICAL METHODS STOCHASTIC PROCESS STORM EVENTS STUDY AREA SUBLIMATION SURFACE BOUNDARY SURFACE RUNOFF SURFACE WATER TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY TEMPORAL RESOLUTION TROPICS UNCERTAINTIES USE OF WATER VEGETATION VEGETATION PATTERNS WATER MANAGEMENT WATER RESOURCES WATER SUPPLY WATER TABLE WATER USE WATERSHED WATERSHED MANAGEMENT WETLAND WETLAND SYSTEM WETLAND VEGETATION WETLAND WATER WETLANDS WMO There are two common problems in flood hydrology: 1) estimate the return period for a given flood; and 2) estimate the flood for a given return period. A commonly used procedure to solve these problems is to fit a probability density function such as the Gumbel, Pearson type three or the generalized extreme value distributions to the historical data. The Pearson probability distribution was named after the statistician Pearson, it is also called the three-parameter gamma distribution. The Mann-Kendall test is a non-parametric test for identifying trends in time series data. The test compares the relative magnitudes of sample data rather than the data values them. One benefit of this test is that the data need not conform to any particular distribution. The data values are evaluated as an ordered time series. Each data value is compared to all subsequent data values. There are basically two approaches to downscale coupled climate model projections: statistical and dynamic downscaling. 2013-09-25T18:38:01Z 2013-09-25T18:38:01Z 2011-11 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2011/11/17837367/uncertainty-climate-variability-design-operation-water-resources-projects-examples-case-studies-vol-1-2-annexes http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15813 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Economic & Sector Work :: Other Environmental Study