Infrastructure in Conflict-Prone and Fragile Environments : Evidence from the Democratic Republic of Congo

In conflict-prone situations, access to markets is necessary to restore economic growth and generate the preconditions for peace and reconstruction. Hence, the rehabilitation of damaged transport infrastructure has emerged as an overarching investm...

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Main Authors: Ali, Rubaba, Barra, A. Federico, Berg, Claudia N., Damania, Richard, Nash, John D., Russ, Jason
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2015
Subjects:
TAX
CAR
WAR
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/05/24498122/infrastructure-conflict-prone-fragile-environments-evidence-democratic-republic-congo
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22005
id okr-10986-22005
recordtype oai_dc
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic SANITATION
RISKS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
PRICE OF FUEL
INCOME
VEHICLE SPEED
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
NATIONS
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURES
ELASTICITY
ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION
POLITICAL ECONOMY
AGGLOMERATION BENEFITS
CONVENTION
TRAVEL SPEED
PROJECTS
TRAFFIC
ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE
HIGHWAY SYSTEM
TAX
ROUTES
FARM HOUSEHOLDS
GROSS VEHICLE WEIGHT
WEALTH
INDEPENDENCE
CONFLICT
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
INTERNATIONAL BANK
MEASURES
WARFARE
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
ROAD TYPE
REBELS
POVERTY REDUCTION
POLARIZATION
TRAVEL COSTS
VEHICLE
ARMED CONFLICT
CONSTRAINT
FUNDS FOR ROADS
EXPLOITATION
CROP PRODUCTION
ROAD
COSTS
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
TRANSPORTATION NETWORK
ROAD NETWORK
TRANSPORT
IMPACT OF TRANSPORT
FOREIGN AID
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
INTERSTATE HIGHWAY SYSTEM
GOVERNMENT CONTROL
EXPERTS
TRANSFERS
VIOLENCE
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
LOCAL CONFLICT
COSTS PER VEHICLE
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC SANCTIONS
EMERGENCY RESPONSE
ROAD IMPROVEMENT
WELFARE INDICATORS
FARMERS
RURAL ROADS
ROUTE
RULE OF LAW
BETTER ACCESS TO MARKETS
ROAD QUALITY
AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC
INFRASTRUCTURE
LAND USE
NUTRITIONAL STATUS
TRANSPORT NETWORK
HUMAN CAPITAL
FARMLAND
TRAVEL
TRANSPORTATION
POLICIES
POVERTY INDEX
FEMALE-HEADED HOUSEHOLDS
CARS
RURAL AREA
REBEL
ACCESSIBILITY
RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE
POPULATION DENSITY
ECONOMY
VIOLENT CONFLICT
AGRICULTURAL LAND
MALNUTRITION
RURAL
NATION
NUTRITION
BATTLE
ACCESS TO MARKETS
HIGHWAYS
BATTLES
ROADS
CHILD MORTALITY
CAR
WALKING
HIGHWAY
RAILWAYS
SUBSISTENCE FARMERS
COST OF TRANSPORT
INTERNAL WAR
WARS
TRANSPORTATION COST
WAR
ACCESS TO SERVICES
PEDESTRIAN
RURAL AREAS
POVERTY
RAILROADS
FATALITIES
FUEL
REMOTE COMMUNITIES
REHABILITATION
CONFLICTS
UNIVERSITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
INVESTMENTS
POVERTY DYNAMICS
RURAL ROAD
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
CIVIL WAR
POOR
POVERTY IMPACT
TRANSPORT COSTS
CIVIL WARS
ROAD TRANSPORT
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
TRAVEL TIME
FATALITY
PEACE
INFRASTRUCTURES
RECONSTRUCTION
RURAL RESIDENCE
ECONOMIES
ROAD TRAFFIC
BOTTLENECKS
INEQUALITY
spellingShingle SANITATION
RISKS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
PRICE OF FUEL
INCOME
VEHICLE SPEED
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
TRANSPORTATION COSTS
NATIONS
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURES
ELASTICITY
ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION
POLITICAL ECONOMY
AGGLOMERATION BENEFITS
CONVENTION
TRAVEL SPEED
PROJECTS
TRAFFIC
ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE
HIGHWAY SYSTEM
TAX
ROUTES
FARM HOUSEHOLDS
GROSS VEHICLE WEIGHT
WEALTH
INDEPENDENCE
CONFLICT
AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT
INTERNATIONAL BANK
MEASURES
WARFARE
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE
ROAD TYPE
REBELS
POVERTY REDUCTION
POLARIZATION
TRAVEL COSTS
VEHICLE
ARMED CONFLICT
CONSTRAINT
FUNDS FOR ROADS
EXPLOITATION
CROP PRODUCTION
ROAD
COSTS
RURAL HOUSEHOLDS
TRANSPORTATION NETWORK
ROAD NETWORK
TRANSPORT
IMPACT OF TRANSPORT
FOREIGN AID
HOUSEHOLD HEAD
INTERSTATE HIGHWAY SYSTEM
GOVERNMENT CONTROL
EXPERTS
TRANSFERS
VIOLENCE
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
LOCAL CONFLICT
COSTS PER VEHICLE
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC SANCTIONS
EMERGENCY RESPONSE
ROAD IMPROVEMENT
WELFARE INDICATORS
FARMERS
RURAL ROADS
ROUTE
RULE OF LAW
BETTER ACCESS TO MARKETS
ROAD QUALITY
AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC
INFRASTRUCTURE
LAND USE
NUTRITIONAL STATUS
TRANSPORT NETWORK
HUMAN CAPITAL
FARMLAND
TRAVEL
TRANSPORTATION
POLICIES
POVERTY INDEX
FEMALE-HEADED HOUSEHOLDS
CARS
RURAL AREA
REBEL
ACCESSIBILITY
RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE
POPULATION DENSITY
ECONOMY
VIOLENT CONFLICT
AGRICULTURAL LAND
MALNUTRITION
RURAL
NATION
NUTRITION
BATTLE
ACCESS TO MARKETS
HIGHWAYS
BATTLES
ROADS
CHILD MORTALITY
CAR
WALKING
HIGHWAY
RAILWAYS
SUBSISTENCE FARMERS
COST OF TRANSPORT
INTERNAL WAR
WARS
TRANSPORTATION COST
WAR
ACCESS TO SERVICES
PEDESTRIAN
RURAL AREAS
POVERTY
RAILROADS
FATALITIES
FUEL
REMOTE COMMUNITIES
REHABILITATION
CONFLICTS
UNIVERSITY
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
INVESTMENTS
POVERTY DYNAMICS
RURAL ROAD
HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
CIVIL WAR
POOR
POVERTY IMPACT
TRANSPORT COSTS
CIVIL WARS
ROAD TRANSPORT
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
TRAVEL TIME
FATALITY
PEACE
INFRASTRUCTURES
RECONSTRUCTION
RURAL RESIDENCE
ECONOMIES
ROAD TRAFFIC
BOTTLENECKS
INEQUALITY
Ali, Rubaba
Barra, A. Federico
Berg, Claudia N.
Damania, Richard
Nash, John D.
Russ, Jason
Russ, Jason
Infrastructure in Conflict-Prone and Fragile Environments : Evidence from the Democratic Republic of Congo
geographic_facet Africa
Congo, Democratic Republic of
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7273
description In conflict-prone situations, access to markets is necessary to restore economic growth and generate the preconditions for peace and reconstruction. Hence, the rehabilitation of damaged transport infrastructure has emerged as an overarching investment priority among donors and governments. This paper brings together two distinct strands of literature on the effects of conflict on welfare and on the economic impact of transport infrastructure. The theoretical model explores how transport infrastructure affects conflict incidence and welfare when selection into rebel groups is endogenous. The implications of the model are tested with data from the Democratic Republic of Congo. The analysis addresses the problems of the endogeneity of transport costs and conflict using a novel set of instrumental variables. For transport costs, a new instrument is developed, the natural-historical path, which measures the most efficient travel route to a market, taking into account topography, land cover, and historical caravan routes. Recognizing the imprecision in measuring the geographic impacts of conflict, the analysis develops a spatial kernel density function to proxy for the incidence of conflict. To account for its endogeneity, it is instrumented with ethnic fractionalization and distance to the eastern border. A variety of indicators of well-being are used: a wealth index, a poverty index, and local gross domestic product. The results suggest that, in most situations, reducing transport costs has the expected beneficial impacts on all the measures of welfare. However, when there is intense conflict, improvements in infrastructure may not have the anticipated benefits. The results suggest the need for more nuanced strategies that take into account varying circumstances and consider actions that jointly target governance with construction activities.
format Working Paper
author Ali, Rubaba
Barra, A. Federico
Berg, Claudia N.
Damania, Richard
Nash, John D.
Russ, Jason
Russ, Jason
author_facet Ali, Rubaba
Barra, A. Federico
Berg, Claudia N.
Damania, Richard
Nash, John D.
Russ, Jason
Russ, Jason
author_sort Ali, Rubaba
title Infrastructure in Conflict-Prone and Fragile Environments : Evidence from the Democratic Republic of Congo
title_short Infrastructure in Conflict-Prone and Fragile Environments : Evidence from the Democratic Republic of Congo
title_full Infrastructure in Conflict-Prone and Fragile Environments : Evidence from the Democratic Republic of Congo
title_fullStr Infrastructure in Conflict-Prone and Fragile Environments : Evidence from the Democratic Republic of Congo
title_full_unstemmed Infrastructure in Conflict-Prone and Fragile Environments : Evidence from the Democratic Republic of Congo
title_sort infrastructure in conflict-prone and fragile environments : evidence from the democratic republic of congo
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2015
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/05/24498122/infrastructure-conflict-prone-fragile-environments-evidence-democratic-republic-congo
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22005
_version_ 1764449891266854912
spelling okr-10986-220052021-04-23T14:04:06Z Infrastructure in Conflict-Prone and Fragile Environments : Evidence from the Democratic Republic of Congo Ali, Rubaba Barra, A. Federico Berg, Claudia N. Damania, Richard Nash, John D. Russ, Jason Russ, Jason SANITATION RISKS ECONOMIC GROWTH PRICE OF FUEL INCOME VEHICLE SPEED AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE TRANSPORTATION COSTS NATIONS TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURES ELASTICITY ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION POLITICAL ECONOMY AGGLOMERATION BENEFITS CONVENTION TRAVEL SPEED PROJECTS TRAFFIC ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE HIGHWAY SYSTEM TAX ROUTES FARM HOUSEHOLDS GROSS VEHICLE WEIGHT WEALTH INDEPENDENCE CONFLICT AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT INTERNATIONAL BANK MEASURES WARFARE TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE ROAD TYPE REBELS POVERTY REDUCTION POLARIZATION TRAVEL COSTS VEHICLE ARMED CONFLICT CONSTRAINT FUNDS FOR ROADS EXPLOITATION CROP PRODUCTION ROAD COSTS RURAL HOUSEHOLDS TRANSPORTATION NETWORK ROAD NETWORK TRANSPORT IMPACT OF TRANSPORT FOREIGN AID HOUSEHOLD HEAD INTERSTATE HIGHWAY SYSTEM GOVERNMENT CONTROL EXPERTS TRANSFERS VIOLENCE HOUSEHOLD INCOME LOCAL CONFLICT COSTS PER VEHICLE INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC SANCTIONS EMERGENCY RESPONSE ROAD IMPROVEMENT WELFARE INDICATORS FARMERS RURAL ROADS ROUTE RULE OF LAW BETTER ACCESS TO MARKETS ROAD QUALITY AVERAGE DAILY TRAFFIC INFRASTRUCTURE LAND USE NUTRITIONAL STATUS TRANSPORT NETWORK HUMAN CAPITAL FARMLAND TRAVEL TRANSPORTATION POLICIES POVERTY INDEX FEMALE-HEADED HOUSEHOLDS CARS RURAL AREA REBEL ACCESSIBILITY RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE POPULATION DENSITY ECONOMY VIOLENT CONFLICT AGRICULTURAL LAND MALNUTRITION RURAL NATION NUTRITION BATTLE ACCESS TO MARKETS HIGHWAYS BATTLES ROADS CHILD MORTALITY CAR WALKING HIGHWAY RAILWAYS SUBSISTENCE FARMERS COST OF TRANSPORT INTERNAL WAR WARS TRANSPORTATION COST WAR ACCESS TO SERVICES PEDESTRIAN RURAL AREAS POVERTY RAILROADS FATALITIES FUEL REMOTE COMMUNITIES REHABILITATION CONFLICTS UNIVERSITY AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY INVESTMENTS POVERTY DYNAMICS RURAL ROAD HOUSEHOLD WELFARE CIVIL WAR POOR POVERTY IMPACT TRANSPORT COSTS CIVIL WARS ROAD TRANSPORT ECONOMIC SHOCKS TRAVEL TIME FATALITY PEACE INFRASTRUCTURES RECONSTRUCTION RURAL RESIDENCE ECONOMIES ROAD TRAFFIC BOTTLENECKS INEQUALITY In conflict-prone situations, access to markets is necessary to restore economic growth and generate the preconditions for peace and reconstruction. Hence, the rehabilitation of damaged transport infrastructure has emerged as an overarching investment priority among donors and governments. This paper brings together two distinct strands of literature on the effects of conflict on welfare and on the economic impact of transport infrastructure. The theoretical model explores how transport infrastructure affects conflict incidence and welfare when selection into rebel groups is endogenous. The implications of the model are tested with data from the Democratic Republic of Congo. The analysis addresses the problems of the endogeneity of transport costs and conflict using a novel set of instrumental variables. For transport costs, a new instrument is developed, the natural-historical path, which measures the most efficient travel route to a market, taking into account topography, land cover, and historical caravan routes. Recognizing the imprecision in measuring the geographic impacts of conflict, the analysis develops a spatial kernel density function to proxy for the incidence of conflict. To account for its endogeneity, it is instrumented with ethnic fractionalization and distance to the eastern border. A variety of indicators of well-being are used: a wealth index, a poverty index, and local gross domestic product. The results suggest that, in most situations, reducing transport costs has the expected beneficial impacts on all the measures of welfare. However, when there is intense conflict, improvements in infrastructure may not have the anticipated benefits. The results suggest the need for more nuanced strategies that take into account varying circumstances and consider actions that jointly target governance with construction activities. 2015-06-02T21:35:11Z 2015-06-02T21:35:11Z 2015-05 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/05/24498122/infrastructure-conflict-prone-fragile-environments-evidence-democratic-republic-congo http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22005 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7273 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa Congo, Democratic Republic of