Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors

The author uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. Loans from official creditors typically finance multiyear public spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of proje...

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Main Author: Kraay, Aart
Format: Journal Article
Language:en_US
Published: American Economic Association 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22640
id okr-10986-22640
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-226402021-04-23T14:04:10Z Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors Kraay, Aart official lending fiscal policy government expenditure monetary policy The author uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. Loans from official creditors typically finance multiyear public spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of project implementation. The identification strategy exploits the long lags between approval and eventual disbursement of these loans to isolate a predetermined component of public spending associated with past loan approval decisions taken before the realization of contemporaneous shocks. In a large sample of 102 developing countries over the period 1970-2010, the one-year spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be around 0.4. 2015-09-17T19:00:23Z 2015-09-17T19:00:23Z 2014-10 Journal Article American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 1945-7707 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22640 en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo American Economic Association American Economic Association Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language en_US
topic official lending
fiscal policy
government expenditure
monetary policy
spellingShingle official lending
fiscal policy
government expenditure
monetary policy
Kraay, Aart
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
description The author uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. Loans from official creditors typically finance multiyear public spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of project implementation. The identification strategy exploits the long lags between approval and eventual disbursement of these loans to isolate a predetermined component of public spending associated with past loan approval decisions taken before the realization of contemporaneous shocks. In a large sample of 102 developing countries over the period 1970-2010, the one-year spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be around 0.4.
format Journal Article
author Kraay, Aart
author_facet Kraay, Aart
author_sort Kraay, Aart
title Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
title_short Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
title_full Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
title_fullStr Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
title_full_unstemmed Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
title_sort government spending multipliers in developing countries : evidence from lending by official creditors
publisher American Economic Association
publishDate 2015
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22640
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