Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
The author uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. Loans from official creditors typically finance multiyear public spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of proje...
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okr-10986-226402021-04-23T14:04:10Z Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors Kraay, Aart official lending fiscal policy government expenditure monetary policy The author uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. Loans from official creditors typically finance multiyear public spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of project implementation. The identification strategy exploits the long lags between approval and eventual disbursement of these loans to isolate a predetermined component of public spending associated with past loan approval decisions taken before the realization of contemporaneous shocks. In a large sample of 102 developing countries over the period 1970-2010, the one-year spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be around 0.4. 2015-09-17T19:00:23Z 2015-09-17T19:00:23Z 2014-10 Journal Article American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 1945-7707 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22640 en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo American Economic Association American Economic Association Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Journal Article |
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official lending fiscal policy government expenditure monetary policy |
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official lending fiscal policy government expenditure monetary policy Kraay, Aart Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
description |
The author uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. Loans from official creditors typically finance multiyear public spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of project implementation. The identification strategy exploits the long lags between approval and eventual disbursement of these loans to isolate a predetermined component of public spending associated with past loan approval decisions taken before the realization of contemporaneous shocks. In a large sample of 102 developing countries over the period 1970-2010, the one-year spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be around 0.4. |
format |
Journal Article |
author |
Kraay, Aart |
author_facet |
Kraay, Aart |
author_sort |
Kraay, Aart |
title |
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
title_short |
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
title_full |
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
title_fullStr |
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
title_full_unstemmed |
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
title_sort |
government spending multipliers in developing countries : evidence from lending by official creditors |
publisher |
American Economic Association |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22640 |
_version_ |
1764451642224148480 |