Trouble in the Making? : The Future of Manufacturing-Led Development

Globalization and new technologies are impacting the desirability and feasibility of what has historically been the most successful development strategy. Manufacturing has been seen as special, promising both productivity gains and job creation. But trade is slowing. Global value chains (GVC) are ma...

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Main Authors: Hallward-Driemeier, Mary, Nayyar, Gaurav
Format: Book
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27946
id okr-10986-27946
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-279462021-09-15T14:27:20Z Trouble in the Making? : The Future of Manufacturing-Led Development Hallward-Driemeier, Mary Nayyar, Gaurav GLOBALIZATION COMPETITIVENESS AUTOMATION POLARIZATION ROBOTICS STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION INDUSTRIALIZATION INDUSTRIAL POLICY JOBS PRODUCTIVITY PRODUCT CYCLE MANUFACTURING SERVICES TRADE TECHNOLOGY TRENDS JOB CREATION Globalization and new technologies are impacting the desirability and feasibility of what has historically been the most successful development strategy. Manufacturing has been seen as special, promising both productivity gains and job creation. But trade is slowing. Global value chains (GVC) are maturing. Robotics, artificial intelligence, 3D printing, and the Internet of things are shifting what makes locations attractive for production and threatening significant disruptions in employment. There is a risk of increased polarization, within countries and across countries. Shifting the attention from high-income countries, this report takes the perspective of developing countries to ask: -- If new technologies reduce the importance of low-wage labor, how can developing countries compete? -- Do countries need to industrialize to develop? -- How can countries at different levels of development take advantage of new opportunities? Development strategies need to broaden. Different manufacturing sub-sectors can still provide productivity growth or jobs; fewer can deliver both. Many of the pro-development characteristics traditionally associated with manufacturing--tradability, scale, innovation, learning-by-doing--are increasingly features of services. With faster diffusion of technology, it will be all the more important for countries to improve the enabling environment, remain open to trade, and support capabilities of firms and workers to ensure future prosperity is shared. 2017-08-22T15:59:07Z 2017-08-22T15:59:07Z 2017-09-20 Book 978-1-4648-1174-6 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27946 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank Washington, DC: World Bank Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Publication East Asia and Pacific China
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
en_US
topic GLOBALIZATION
COMPETITIVENESS
AUTOMATION
POLARIZATION
ROBOTICS
STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INDUSTRIAL POLICY
JOBS
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCT CYCLE
MANUFACTURING
SERVICES TRADE
TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
JOB CREATION
spellingShingle GLOBALIZATION
COMPETITIVENESS
AUTOMATION
POLARIZATION
ROBOTICS
STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION
INDUSTRIALIZATION
INDUSTRIAL POLICY
JOBS
PRODUCTIVITY
PRODUCT CYCLE
MANUFACTURING
SERVICES TRADE
TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
JOB CREATION
Hallward-Driemeier, Mary
Nayyar, Gaurav
Trouble in the Making? : The Future of Manufacturing-Led Development
geographic_facet East Asia and Pacific
China
description Globalization and new technologies are impacting the desirability and feasibility of what has historically been the most successful development strategy. Manufacturing has been seen as special, promising both productivity gains and job creation. But trade is slowing. Global value chains (GVC) are maturing. Robotics, artificial intelligence, 3D printing, and the Internet of things are shifting what makes locations attractive for production and threatening significant disruptions in employment. There is a risk of increased polarization, within countries and across countries. Shifting the attention from high-income countries, this report takes the perspective of developing countries to ask: -- If new technologies reduce the importance of low-wage labor, how can developing countries compete? -- Do countries need to industrialize to develop? -- How can countries at different levels of development take advantage of new opportunities? Development strategies need to broaden. Different manufacturing sub-sectors can still provide productivity growth or jobs; fewer can deliver both. Many of the pro-development characteristics traditionally associated with manufacturing--tradability, scale, innovation, learning-by-doing--are increasingly features of services. With faster diffusion of technology, it will be all the more important for countries to improve the enabling environment, remain open to trade, and support capabilities of firms and workers to ensure future prosperity is shared.
format Book
author Hallward-Driemeier, Mary
Nayyar, Gaurav
author_facet Hallward-Driemeier, Mary
Nayyar, Gaurav
author_sort Hallward-Driemeier, Mary
title Trouble in the Making? : The Future of Manufacturing-Led Development
title_short Trouble in the Making? : The Future of Manufacturing-Led Development
title_full Trouble in the Making? : The Future of Manufacturing-Led Development
title_fullStr Trouble in the Making? : The Future of Manufacturing-Led Development
title_full_unstemmed Trouble in the Making? : The Future of Manufacturing-Led Development
title_sort trouble in the making? : the future of manufacturing-led development
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2017
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27946
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