Understanding Public Spending Trends for Infrastructure in Developing Countries

Evidence of public expenditure on infrastructure is extremely sparse. Little is known about the trends and patterns of infrastructure expenditure, and there is no real basis for assessing the adequacy and efficiency of infrastructure spending. Draw...

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Main Authors: Foster, Vivien, Rana, Anshul, Gorgulu, Nisan
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/727991642167519238/Understanding-Public-Spending-Trends-for-Infrastructure-in-Developing-Countries
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36849
id okr-10986-36849
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-368492022-01-21T05:10:37Z Understanding Public Spending Trends for Infrastructure in Developing Countries Foster, Vivien Rana, Anshul Gorgulu, Nisan PUBLIC SPENDING PUBLIC EXPENDITURE PUBLIC INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT ROAD SPENDING ELECTRICITY FISCAL POLICY Evidence of public expenditure on infrastructure is extremely sparse. Little is known about the trends and patterns of infrastructure expenditure, and there is no real basis for assessing the adequacy and efficiency of infrastructure spending. Drawing on the World Bank’s novel BOOST database, this paper provides a first relatively disaggregated picture of infrastructure spending trends and patterns for a large sample of more than 70 developing countries covering 2010–18, drilling down into expenditure by sector for roads as well as electricity, and distinguishing operating from capital expenditure. Complementary sources of data are tapped to allow comparison between expenditure patterns on and off budget. The study finds that on-budget expenditure on infrastructure has been low both in absolute terms (1 percent of gross domestic product) and relative terms (5 percent of total public spending), as well as declining over time. Overall, infrastructure spending declined by about one-third over 2010–18 (with the road sector bearing the brunt of the decrease), and now lies well below estimates of the required levels, except in a handful of cases. There is evidence that low-income countries, despite lower spending envelopes, attach greater priority to public investment and infrastructure spending than their middle-income counterparts. Econometric analysis suggests that infrastructure spending in low- and middle-income countries has been historically procyclical, although to a lesser degree than total expenditure. In the transport sector, road funds are shown to play a substantial role in funding road maintenance, appearing to improve the adequacy of funding, while attenuating pronounced capital biases in road sector spending, but there is little evidence of efficiency improvements over time. 2022-01-20T17:38:53Z 2022-01-20T17:38:53Z 2022-01 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/727991642167519238/Understanding-Public-Spending-Trends-for-Infrastructure-in-Developing-Countries http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36849 English Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9903 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language English
topic PUBLIC SPENDING
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
ROAD SPENDING
ELECTRICITY
FISCAL POLICY
spellingShingle PUBLIC SPENDING
PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
PUBLIC INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE
INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
ROAD SPENDING
ELECTRICITY
FISCAL POLICY
Foster, Vivien
Rana, Anshul
Gorgulu, Nisan
Understanding Public Spending Trends for Infrastructure in Developing Countries
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9903
description Evidence of public expenditure on infrastructure is extremely sparse. Little is known about the trends and patterns of infrastructure expenditure, and there is no real basis for assessing the adequacy and efficiency of infrastructure spending. Drawing on the World Bank’s novel BOOST database, this paper provides a first relatively disaggregated picture of infrastructure spending trends and patterns for a large sample of more than 70 developing countries covering 2010–18, drilling down into expenditure by sector for roads as well as electricity, and distinguishing operating from capital expenditure. Complementary sources of data are tapped to allow comparison between expenditure patterns on and off budget. The study finds that on-budget expenditure on infrastructure has been low both in absolute terms (1 percent of gross domestic product) and relative terms (5 percent of total public spending), as well as declining over time. Overall, infrastructure spending declined by about one-third over 2010–18 (with the road sector bearing the brunt of the decrease), and now lies well below estimates of the required levels, except in a handful of cases. There is evidence that low-income countries, despite lower spending envelopes, attach greater priority to public investment and infrastructure spending than their middle-income counterparts. Econometric analysis suggests that infrastructure spending in low- and middle-income countries has been historically procyclical, although to a lesser degree than total expenditure. In the transport sector, road funds are shown to play a substantial role in funding road maintenance, appearing to improve the adequacy of funding, while attenuating pronounced capital biases in road sector spending, but there is little evidence of efficiency improvements over time.
format Working Paper
author Foster, Vivien
Rana, Anshul
Gorgulu, Nisan
author_facet Foster, Vivien
Rana, Anshul
Gorgulu, Nisan
author_sort Foster, Vivien
title Understanding Public Spending Trends for Infrastructure in Developing Countries
title_short Understanding Public Spending Trends for Infrastructure in Developing Countries
title_full Understanding Public Spending Trends for Infrastructure in Developing Countries
title_fullStr Understanding Public Spending Trends for Infrastructure in Developing Countries
title_full_unstemmed Understanding Public Spending Trends for Infrastructure in Developing Countries
title_sort understanding public spending trends for infrastructure in developing countries
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2022
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/727991642167519238/Understanding-Public-Spending-Trends-for-Infrastructure-in-Developing-Countries
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36849
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