Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015

This paper uses a forecasting model to estimate the need for, supply of, and shortage of doctors, nurses, and midwives in thirty-nine African countries for 2015, the target date of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals. We forecast that thirty-one countries will experience needs-based shor...

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Main Authors: Scheffler, R. M., Mahoney, C. B., Fulton, B. D., Dal Poz, M. R., Preker, A. S.
Format: Journal Article
Language:EN
Published: 2012
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5338
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spelling okr-10986-53382021-04-23T14:02:21Z Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015 Scheffler, R. M. Mahoney, C. B. Fulton, B. D. Dal Poz, M. R. Preker, A. S. This paper uses a forecasting model to estimate the need for, supply of, and shortage of doctors, nurses, and midwives in thirty-nine African countries for 2015, the target date of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals. We forecast that thirty-one countries will experience needs-based shortages of doctors, nurses, and midwives, totaling approximately 800,000 health professionals. We estimate the additional annual wage bill required to eliminate the shortage at about $ 2.6 billion (2007 $ US)-more than 2.5 times current wage-bill projections for 2015. We illustrate how changes in workforce mix can reduce this cost, and we discuss policy implications of our results. [Health Affairs 28, no. 5 (2009): w849-w862 (published online 6 August 2009; 10.1377/hlthaff.28.5.w849)] 2012-03-30T07:32:22Z 2012-03-30T07:32:22Z 2009 Journal Article Health Affairs 0278-2715 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5338 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article Africa
repository_type Digital Repository
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution Digital Repositories
building World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection World Bank
language EN
geographic_facet Africa
relation http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
description This paper uses a forecasting model to estimate the need for, supply of, and shortage of doctors, nurses, and midwives in thirty-nine African countries for 2015, the target date of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals. We forecast that thirty-one countries will experience needs-based shortages of doctors, nurses, and midwives, totaling approximately 800,000 health professionals. We estimate the additional annual wage bill required to eliminate the shortage at about $ 2.6 billion (2007 $ US)-more than 2.5 times current wage-bill projections for 2015. We illustrate how changes in workforce mix can reduce this cost, and we discuss policy implications of our results. [Health Affairs 28, no. 5 (2009): w849-w862 (published online 6 August 2009; 10.1377/hlthaff.28.5.w849)]
format Journal Article
author Scheffler, R. M.
Mahoney, C. B.
Fulton, B. D.
Dal Poz, M. R.
Preker, A. S.
spellingShingle Scheffler, R. M.
Mahoney, C. B.
Fulton, B. D.
Dal Poz, M. R.
Preker, A. S.
Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015
author_facet Scheffler, R. M.
Mahoney, C. B.
Fulton, B. D.
Dal Poz, M. R.
Preker, A. S.
author_sort Scheffler, R. M.
title Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015
title_short Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015
title_full Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015
title_fullStr Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015
title_full_unstemmed Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015
title_sort estimates of health care professional shortages in sub-saharan africa by 2015
publishDate 2012
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5338
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