Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015
This paper uses a forecasting model to estimate the need for, supply of, and shortage of doctors, nurses, and midwives in thirty-nine African countries for 2015, the target date of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals. We forecast that thirty-one countries will experience needs-based shor...
Main Authors: | , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Journal Article |
Language: | EN |
Published: |
2012
|
Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5338 |
id |
okr-10986-5338 |
---|---|
recordtype |
oai_dc |
spelling |
okr-10986-53382021-04-23T14:02:21Z Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015 Scheffler, R. M. Mahoney, C. B. Fulton, B. D. Dal Poz, M. R. Preker, A. S. This paper uses a forecasting model to estimate the need for, supply of, and shortage of doctors, nurses, and midwives in thirty-nine African countries for 2015, the target date of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals. We forecast that thirty-one countries will experience needs-based shortages of doctors, nurses, and midwives, totaling approximately 800,000 health professionals. We estimate the additional annual wage bill required to eliminate the shortage at about $ 2.6 billion (2007 $ US)-more than 2.5 times current wage-bill projections for 2015. We illustrate how changes in workforce mix can reduce this cost, and we discuss policy implications of our results. [Health Affairs 28, no. 5 (2009): w849-w862 (published online 6 August 2009; 10.1377/hlthaff.28.5.w849)] 2012-03-30T07:32:22Z 2012-03-30T07:32:22Z 2009 Journal Article Health Affairs 0278-2715 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5338 EN http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank Journal Article Africa |
repository_type |
Digital Repository |
institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
institution |
Digital Repositories |
building |
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository |
collection |
World Bank |
language |
EN |
geographic_facet |
Africa |
relation |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo |
description |
This paper uses a forecasting model to estimate the need for, supply of, and shortage of doctors, nurses, and midwives in thirty-nine African countries for 2015, the target date of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals. We forecast that thirty-one countries will experience needs-based shortages of doctors, nurses, and midwives, totaling approximately 800,000 health professionals. We estimate the additional annual wage bill required to eliminate the shortage at about $ 2.6 billion (2007 $ US)-more than 2.5 times current wage-bill projections for 2015. We illustrate how changes in workforce mix can reduce this cost, and we discuss policy implications of our results. [Health Affairs 28, no. 5 (2009): w849-w862 (published online 6 August 2009; 10.1377/hlthaff.28.5.w849)] |
format |
Journal Article |
author |
Scheffler, R. M. Mahoney, C. B. Fulton, B. D. Dal Poz, M. R. Preker, A. S. |
spellingShingle |
Scheffler, R. M. Mahoney, C. B. Fulton, B. D. Dal Poz, M. R. Preker, A. S. Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015 |
author_facet |
Scheffler, R. M. Mahoney, C. B. Fulton, B. D. Dal Poz, M. R. Preker, A. S. |
author_sort |
Scheffler, R. M. |
title |
Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015 |
title_short |
Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015 |
title_full |
Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015 |
title_fullStr |
Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimates Of Health Care Professional Shortages In Sub-Saharan Africa By 2015 |
title_sort |
estimates of health care professional shortages in sub-saharan africa by 2015 |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/5338 |
_version_ |
1764394693687246848 |