Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings

A number of recent studies have empirically documented links between characteristics of World Bank projects and their ultimate outcomes as evaluated by the World Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. This paper explores the in-sample and out-of...

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Main Authors:	Geli, Patricia, Kraay, Aart, Nobakht, Hoveida
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper
Language:	English en_US
Published:	World Bank Group, Washington, DC 2014
Subjects:	AID CORRECTIVE ACTIONS DEVELOPMENT ISSUES DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ICR IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION REPORT INTERVENTIONS OPERATIONS PROGRAMS PROJECT COMPLETION PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT SUPERVISION SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TRUST FUNDS
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/08/20009441/predicting-world-bank-project-outcome-ratings http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19395

id	okr-10986-19395
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	okr-10986-193952021-04-23T14:03:52Z Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings Geli, Patricia Kraay, Aart Nobakht, Hoveida AID CORRECTIVE ACTIONS DEVELOPMENT ISSUES DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ICR IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION REPORT INTERVENTIONS OPERATIONS PROGRAMS PROJECT COMPLETION PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT SUPERVISION SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TRUST FUNDS A number of recent studies have empirically documented links between characteristics of World Bank projects and their ultimate outcomes as evaluated by the World Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. This paper explores the in-sample and out-of-sample predictive performance of empirical models relating project outcomes to project characteristics observed early in the life of a project. Such models perform better than self-assessments of project performance provided by World Bank staff during the implementation of the project. These findings are applied to the problem of predicting eventual Independent Evaluation Group ratings for currently active projects in the World Bank's portfolio. 2014-08-15T19:23:40Z 2014-08-15T19:23:40Z 2014-08-01 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/08/20009441/predicting-world-bank-project-outcome-ratings http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19395 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7001 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank Group, Washington, DC Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Publications & Research
repository_type	Digital Repository
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	Digital Repositories
building	World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
collection	World Bank
language	English en_US
topic	AID CORRECTIVE ACTIONS DEVELOPMENT ISSUES DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ICR IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION REPORT INTERVENTIONS OPERATIONS PROGRAMS PROJECT COMPLETION PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT SUPERVISION SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TRUST FUNDS
spellingShingle	AID CORRECTIVE ACTIONS DEVELOPMENT ISSUES DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES DEVELOPMENT POLICY DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ICR IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION REPORT INTERVENTIONS OPERATIONS PROGRAMS PROJECT COMPLETION PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT SUPERVISION SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT TRUST FUNDS Geli, Patricia Kraay, Aart Nobakht, Hoveida Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings
relation	Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7001
description	A number of recent studies have empirically documented links between characteristics of World Bank projects and their ultimate outcomes as evaluated by the World Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. This paper explores the in-sample and out-of-sample predictive performance of empirical models relating project outcomes to project characteristics observed early in the life of a project. Such models perform better than self-assessments of project performance provided by World Bank staff during the implementation of the project. These findings are applied to the problem of predicting eventual Independent Evaluation Group ratings for currently active projects in the World Bank's portfolio.
format	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
author	Geli, Patricia Kraay, Aart Nobakht, Hoveida
author_facet	Geli, Patricia Kraay, Aart Nobakht, Hoveida
author_sort	Geli, Patricia
title	Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings
title_short	Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings
title_full	Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings
title_fullStr	Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings
title_full_unstemmed	Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings
title_sort	predicting world bank project outcome ratings
publisher	World Bank Group, Washington, DC
publishDate	2014
url	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/08/20009441/predicting-world-bank-project-outcome-ratings http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19395
_version_	1764443866600046592

Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings

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